Atmosphere & Solar Radiation Modeling Group



Operational Forecast


This web shows the results of an operational weather forecast for the next 3 days temperature, precipitation, wind speed and solar radiation on Andalusia's surface. It becomes like a service vocation to society and popularization of the researching tasks that we develop in our group day by day. (more infomation).

Meteorological Variables

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Regions (choose region to expand information)

cadiz malaga granada almeria huelva sevilla cordoba jaen
Fin de la predicción
Origen de la predicción


Information

The prediction has a temporal horizon of 72 hours with an horizontal spatial resolution of 9 km and outputs every hour. The model used is the Weather Research and Forecasting version 3.0 (WRFv3.0), a new generation non-hydrostatic mesoscale numerical prediction model designed for scientific and meteorological prediction purposes. WRF is appropiate for applications in scales from tens kilometers to tens meters. It is a collaborative effort beetwen the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), among others.

The prediction uses analysis provided by the web distribution system NOMADS, coordinated by National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) of USA. The analysis have a spatial resolution of 0.5 degrees (approximately 50km in our latitudes) and temporal of 3 hours. The model WRF carries out a space-temporal dinamical downscaling of the data, based on physical models to reach the final resolution.

In the maps and graphics it is used UTC time. To obtain the corresponding local time:

a) Local time = UTC time + 2, from de last Sunday of March to the last Sunday of October.
b) Local time = UTC time + 1, rest of the year.

Model configuration

  1. Two nestings of 27 y 9 km in Lambert Conformal Conic proyection.
  2. 27 vertical levels
  3. 12 hours of spin-upat the start of the model for each simulation.
  4. Time of integration of 60 and 20 seconds for both two domains, respectively.
  5. The parametrizations used are:
    a) Microphysics: scheme of Thompson
    b) Radiation of long wave: RRTM
    c) Radiation of short wave: Dudhia
    d) Boundary layer: YSU
    e) Surface: Monin-Obukhov
    f) Floor: RUC (6 capas)
    g) Cumulus: Kain-Fritsch

José Antonio Ruiz Arias: jarariasujaen.es

David Pozo Vázquez: dpozoujaen.es

Acknowledgements

We want to express our most sincere gratitude to National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) and National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of US for giving public access to data of analysis, without which the prediction wouldn't be possible.